[Shop-talk] Retail pricing of lumber?

Ian McFetridge shop-talk2 at mcfetridge.org
Wed Sep 9 13:15:55 MDT 2020


Hi Jim,

Unfortunately, it's a bit like gasoline (fast to raise prices, but slow to
lower them).  From my experience, the lumberyard raises prices when they
see their ordering costs increase (like the gas station raising prices
between refills, not just when they get a new tanker).  I was a derivatives
trader and my old colleagues are calling this a crazy increase in lumber
prices that they do not expect to stay this way through the winter.  I
would watch the price and then call around as you see it coming down.  You
can watch the lumber prices here: (look at the front contract (Sep now).
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/agricultural/lumber-and-pulp/random-length-lumber.html


Best,
Ian

On Wed, Sep 9, 2020 at 2:47 PM Jim Franklin <jamesf at groupwbench.org> wrote:

> Treated decking lumber has gone up another 50% in the past few weeks. Does
> retail pricing follow the cost of the inventory when it was purchased, or
> is it based on the cost of inventory if it were purchased today? If I wait
> until January when (theoretically) fewer people are building decks and teh
> wholesale price (theoretically) comes down, will my cost be based on the
> January wholesale price, or on the September wholesale price?
>
> I have been priced out of finishing my deck so I'm spending my time
> thinking instead of building.
>
> jim
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