[Spridgets] EARTHQUAKE!!!

[Jim Johnson]

Exactly.  You prove my point.  You are far more likely to be in an
earthquake than
to encounter a tornado.  I didn't say a thing about fatalities, did I?

Now, let's get real.   How many thousands died in Japan recently which is
located
on the same seismic ring that s across California.  Geologists (recall that
my brother
is one) have calculated the odds of a 6.7 California Earthquake in the next
30 years as
99%.

The same USGS that you just cited says:

"The likelihood of a major quake of magnitude 7.5 or greater in the next 30
years
 is 46%-and such a quake is most likely to occur in the southern half of the
state."

I can have a reasonable chance of predicting a tornado about 2 days out.
What
are your chances of predicting the BIG one that far out?  Also, I can SEE
and avoid
a tornado.  How do you avoid an earthquake?

Your choice, but I'd live along the Pacific Rim Seismic Region only under
duress.

Cheers!
Jim

On Tue, Aug 23, 2011 at 5:09 PM, Robert Evans <b-evans at earthlink.net> wrote:

> Jim Johnson wrote:  "You will be in a California earthquake at least once a
> year even if you move around."
>
> Now, Jim, we have been having this argument for several years, now.  Yes, I
> know that as a Weather Fabricator you are biased.  But let's get some facts
> on the table.  These come from the U.S. Geological Survey and your old
> outfit, NOAA.
>
> 1   If you live in California, you will be in thousands of quakes a year.
> But, they are so insignificant you do not even feel them.
> 2.  The estimates that there are millions of earthquakes throughout America
> each year.  Again, you folks in Virginia, Florida and the rest of the
> country simply do not feel them.
> 3.  There have been far more fatalities from tornados than from earthquakes
> since they began keeping records.
> 4.  Alaska skews the earthquake records for all of the U.S., having the top
> 10 earthquakes in magnitude, and 13 of the top 20 (Hawaii, Missouri and
> California accounting for the rest.
> 5.  Only 2 people have died in earthquakes since 2000, according to the
> USGS, while the National Weather Service claims there have been 3. In the
> same period of time, there have been 1,150 deaths in tornados.
> 6.  Since 1955 (a cut-off year used, for whatever reason, by the NWS in
> separating data), 4,721 people have met death in tornados, but only 379 in
> earthquakes.
>
> If you are interested in annual comparisons:
>
> Year      T        E
> 1955    129      1
> 1956      83
> 1957    193      1
> 1958      67
> 1959      58    28
> 1960        46
> 1961        52
> 1962        30
> 1963      31
> 1964      73   128
> 1965    301      7
> 1966      98
> 1967    114
> 1968    131
> 1969      66      1
> 1970      73
> 1971    159    65
> 1972      27
> 1973      89
> 1974    366
> 1975      60    2
> 1976      44
> 1977      43
> 1978      53
> 1979      84
> 1980      28
> 1981      24
> 1982      64
> 1983      34      2
> 1984    122
> 1985      94
> 1986      15
> 1987      59      9
> 1988      32
> 1989      50    64
> 1990      53
> 1991      39      2
> 1992      39      3
> 1993      33      2
> 1994      69    60
> 1995      30      1
> 1996        25
> 1997      67
> 1998    130
> 1999      94
> 2000      40
> 2001      40
> 2002      55
> 2003      54      3
> 2004      35
> 2005      38
> 2006      67
> 2007      81
> 2008    125
> 2009      21
> 2010      45
> 2011    549
>
> So go West young man, to California where you will be safe!
>
> Buster Evans
>
>


-- 
Cheers!!
Jim Johnson
Sprite-Midget Club USA <http://www.Sprite-MidgetClub.org>
High Plains Youth Hockey <http://www.highplainsyouthhockey.org>
Dodge City Trail of Fame <http://www.DodgeCityTrailofFame.org>
Electronic Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology <http://www.EJSSM.org>
Yup.  I stay plenty busy!!
bmwwxman at gmail.com