[Spridgets] Weather for LotO / MG2008

Jim Johnson bmwwxman at gmail.com
Sun Jun 22 10:25:01 MDT 2008

As promised....

OUTLOOK:  The latest computer models continue to forecast the main storm
track to stay across the Great Lakes into New England. Disturbances moving
east along this track will be the main weather producers throughout the
coming week as they stir up storms along the polar front which vacillates
along the southern edge of that storm track. It is too early yet to know
with any accuracy when and where each disturbance will be. What is likely
however is that at some point during the Thursday through Sunday time period
one of these disturbances and its associated showers and thunderstorms will
push the polar front south across New York and Pennsylvania. The global
forecast model does this in the Friday night - Saturday time frame but this
timing may not be very accurate.

For Missouri, upper level wind flow patterns remain rather weak and diffuse
thus the disturbances farther north along the storm track are not likely to
impact the area. That said, the airmass in place over Missouri next week
will see afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s and remains quite humid and
steamy. This is a good recipe for late evening and overnight thunderstorms.
Currently the outlook for the Lake of the Ozarks area is for isolated to
widely scattered late evening and overnight thunderstorms. During this time
period, it is possible to see a strong cluster of thunderstorms develop in
the weak upper flow pattern. As a result one night of strong thunderstorms
containing very heavy rains and strong winds is a possibility. The global
forecast model hints at this type of event Friday night.

Best I can do this far in the future....
Jim - 68 "Spridget" in Dodge City
Don't miss "50 Years of Spridgets" at Lake of the Ozarks, June 26-29, 2008!!

For info and registration... <http://www.Sprite-MidgetClub.org>

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