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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal>The CDC just announced today that 35% of Covid cases are asymptomatic. It appears you can spread Covid 19 and not know you are sick. What if you are one of those folks that then go home an give it to your family?<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>As of today there 1.61 million cases in the US with deaths at 95,213 or a death rate 5.9%. Over this weekend we will pass 100,000 dead.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Covid is killing people in all age groups, no one should consider themselves ‘low risk’. This virus is like playing Russian Roulette with an automatic.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>It is clear that the US national strategy is to open up and either get a vaccine in 18-24 months or achieve “Herd Immunity” which requires some 60-70% of the population to have lived through being sick in order to develop antibodies against the virus.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>The numbers needed to get to Herd Immunity roughly require 200,000,000 Americans to have had the virus.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>If people die at the current rate of 5.9% then some ±11,000,000 people would perish in getting to Herd Immunity. Even if better treatments and the demise of very high risk people cut the death rate to just 1%, we would see some 2,000,000 people die of Covid.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Someone once said that if wishing were so, pigs could fly. You can cross your fingers this going to get better in June in the Midwest but all the indications are quite the opposite. We opened the country in mid May to varying degrees (not right or wrong, just fact) and infection rate numbers and death rates are likely to significantly rise in June. It takes a couple of weeks before people start showing up sick at their locale hospitals.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>We are all big boys and girls and we get to make our own decisions. I think this decision should be made on sound medical science and fact, not what we would like to have happen. I have a couple of good doctor friends, until they are willing to go back racing after what they are seeing in their hospitals, I will not return to the track as much as I want to. I wish all the very best of luck.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Ken<o:p></o:p></p></div></body></html>