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RE: Gasoline pt 1

To: <triumphs@autox.team.net>
Subject: RE: Gasoline pt 1
From: "Randall" <tr3driver@comcast.net>
Date: Wed, 31 Aug 2005 17:01:28 -0700
> And you are expert in this area

I don't claim to be an expert, but I do claim to know shit from shinola.

> and label this as pseudo
> scientific claptrap how? and why.

I explained exactly how and why.  The author said that oil production
depends on how much oil is still in the ground, that the peak of oil
production coincides with having used half of what is in the ground.  That
statement is nonsense.

> From what field of study does
> your expertise in this subject arise.

If I tell you that how much electricity is generated depends on how many
electrons are left in the world, do you have to be an "expert" to know that
I'm wrong ?

> Demand increasing  exponentially,

What source do you have for this assertion ?  Consumption figures do not
show an exponential increase, unless you are _very_ selective about which
data points you take.  Certainly demand is rising at the moment, but it is
actually affected by price (albeit slowly) and has been fairly linear over
the last 20 years or so.  Worldwide consumption actually dropped between
1980 and 1985, hardly an "exponential rise".

> worldwide production down.

Once again, what's your source ?  Production for 2007 is still expected to
be the highest ever (although Katrina may well reduce that number).  Unless
my watch has stopped, that's 2 years away, meaning that worldwide oil
production is still rising.

> Not running out (yet)
> just not enough to maintain the economies of the worlds biggest
> energy users, populations skyrocketing.

As of 2001, the 4 largest oil consumers were the US, EU, Japan and China.
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/rankorder/2174rank.html

All 4 areas are already seeing sharp reductions in population growth, with
both China and Japan expecting to actually go negative by 2020.  Hardly my
idea of "skyrocketing".

My reply is too long, so the second part is coming.

Randall




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