The most feasible prognozis I heard is that the oil consumption of the world
will decrease by a similar diagram as it raised. Maybe a bit steeper. Two
main things will force this: the price of the gasoline and the alternative
solutions (plus I hope another two will strenghten this: manufacturers
producing lower consumption cars, people will hopefully adjust their
lifestile to the present conditions). Theese effects are a "bit"
overshadowed by the fact that the consumption of Asia is raising rapidly.
The decreesing will last nearly as long as the increasing period, soo my bet
would be at least 25-30 years for gasoline. Of course it wont get cheaper
though, but if we summarize the amount we spend on our cars, the gasoline
fee is not the highest prized heading. By far not. Even in the EU (lol).
We all know now that "bio-fuel" is not a solution for the mass of the world
(would raise food prices massively), but who tells that ethanol is not good
for oldtimers if gasoline is hard to get? Ethanol is made of vegetable
cut-offs, soo will be available as long as we plant and harvest (or at least
cut the grass). I know that it has its own problems, but chemistry will
produce its solution for the problem, if the market demands one.
Soo I think our beloved cars have good chance to see some happy 10K miles
before the last sound of the internal combustions fades away.
Gergo
2011/8/3 I Erbs <eyera3000 at gmail.com>
> diesel is a by product of making gasoline
> http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20080514073724AAa6Av0.
> I think the reports of the death of gas has been exagerated.
> As long as auto makes can resist the cost of retooling, petrol engines will
> be made in mass quantities.
> I predict many of you will be joining me in paying any amount in the future
> to drive out cars. Seeing as I can't imagine driving my car more than 1-2K
> miles in a year.
>
> On Tue, Aug 2, 2011 at 4:39 PM, Tom <ah3000me at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> > Curt,
> >
> > Well, seriously, in 10 years we'll still have gas. Too many of today's
> cars
> > will still be on the road. But, in 20 years, I think diesel wins and
> gas
> > is hard to find. Diesel fuel mileage is better, it's easier to refine,
> and
> > it refines with cruder oil. Unlike all-electric or LNG-powered vehicles,
> > the refueling infrastructure is mostly in place for diesel, too. I think
> > our gas-powered engines are standing in line behind the LP, 8-track,
> > laser-disc, etc. I think it's just a matter of time.
> >
> > - Tom
> >
> > On Mon, Aug 1, 2011 at 7:13 PM, Curt/Nancy Arndt <cnaarndt at gmail.com>
> > wrote:
> >
> > > Tom,
> > >
> > > I trust you are kidding and just neglected to use the tongue in check
> > > symbol ;-^) at the end of your post. If not, I have a bridge in
> > Brooklyn,
> > > family owned for many years that I'm willing to sell you for a good
> price
> > > ;-)
> > >
> > > Cheers,
> > >
> > > Curt
> > >
> > > On Mon, Aug 1, 2011 at 1:57 PM, Tom <ah3000me at gmail.com> wrote:
> > >
> > > In 10 years, will you even be able to find gasoline to run them with?
> > >>
> > >> - tom
> > _______________________________________________
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>
>
>
> --
> Ira Erbs
> Portland, OR
> _______ _______
> (______ \____1960 BT7____/ _______)
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